Derivation and validation of a cytokine-based assay to screen for acute rejection in renal transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES:

Acute rejection remains a problem in renal transplantation. This study sought to determine the utility of a noninvasive cytokine assay in screening of acute rejection.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS:

In this observational cross-sectional study, 64 patients from two centers were recruited upon admission for allograft biopsy to investigate acute graft dysfunction. Blood was collected before biopsy and assayed for a panel of 21 cytokines secreted by PBMCs. Patients were classified as acute rejectors or nonrejectors according to a classification rule derived from an initial set of 32 patients (training cohort) and subsequently validated in the remaining patients (validation cohort).

RESULTS:

Although six cytokines (IL-1β, IL-6, TNF-α, IL-4, GM-CSF, and monocyte chemoattractant protein-1) distinguished acute rejectors in the training cohort, logistic regression modeling identified a single cytokine, IL-6, as the best predictor. In the validation cohort, IL-6 was consistently the most accurate cytokine (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, 0.85; P=0.006), whereas the application of a prespecified cutoff level, as determined from the training cohort, resulted in a sensitivity and specificity of 92% and 63%, respectively. Secondary analyses revealed a strong association between IL-6 levels and acute rejection after multivariate adjustment for clinical characteristics (P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS:

In this pilot study, the measurement of a single cytokine can exclude acute rejection with a sensitivity of 92% in renal transplant recipients presenting with acute graft dysfunction. Prospective studies are needed to determine the utility of this simple assay, particularly for low-risk or remote patients.

Derivation and validation of a cytokine-based assay to screen for acute rejection in renal transplant recipients.

De Serres SA, Mfarrej BG, Grafals M, Riella LV, Magee CN, Yeung MY, Dyer C, Ahmad U, Chandraker A, Najafian N.

Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2012 Jun;7(6):1018-25.

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